Turkey
Falling behindEuropeUpper-middle income
Power #21 / 50Per-capita #34
Cognitive Power
36.6
of 100 · #21
CPI
36.6
CC
42.4
ADI
49.6
CDI
0.445
AIR
36.6
AIX
28.7
CRI
37.5
CM
31.9
CV
3.1%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
36.6 · #21/50
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in researchers (total), agentic deployment (scale), economic mass.
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
42.4 · #34/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index — the army of agents
Turkey's agentic capacity
49.6
ADI · #35/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do — across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)61.0
Access — citizens47.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)53.0
Business deployment37.0
Government deployment44.0
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Turkey's indices & economy
Turkey — cognitive standing in full
Turkey is the world's #16 economy by GDP ($1,597bn) and ranks #21/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #34/50 on per-capita intensity. No index ranks as a clear strength across the headline indices; its trajectory is Falling behind — growing more slowly than the frontier. The binding concern is augmentation index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on — and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$1,597bn
#16 of 50
GDP / capita
$45,288
Upper-middle income · PPP
Population
86M
AI investment
$0.7bn
#31 globally
R&D intensity
1.40%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Turkey's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means — and where Turkey sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 36.6 | Moderate · #21/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow; low would mean limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 42.4 | Developing · #34/50 | Low here — thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 49.6 | Developing · #35/50 | Low here — agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.445 | Developing · #33/50 | Low here — imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 36.6 | Developing · #35/50 | Low here — governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 28.7 | Developing · #39/50 | Low here — access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 37.5 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce; low would mean dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 31.9 | Developing · #36/50 | Low here — a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement — today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.1% | Developing · #35/50 | Low here — slow improvement — at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement — at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
Falling behindTurkey's trajectory is Falling behind — growing more slowly than the frontier. Risk: the relative gap is widening — a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
Momentum (CM): 31.9 #36/50
Velocity (CV): 3.1% #35/50
Closing the gap: -2.16 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 58.7 (now 42.4, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- No standout strengths across the headline indices yet.
Risk factors
- Relative trajectory — Falling behind: Risk: the relative gap is widening — a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
- Affluent but under-utilizing — an upper-middle-income economy (GDP/cap $45,288 PPP) whose AI utilization (AIX 28.7) lags its means.
- Binding weakness — Augmentation Index 28.7 (#39/50, Developing): access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.