Russia
Falling behindEuropeUpper-middle income
Power #12 / 50Per-capita #32
Cognitive Power
45.5
of 100 · #12
CPI
45.5
CC
45.1
ADI
48.6
CDI
0.458
AIR
40.0
AIX
28.8
CRI
38.8
CM
32.1
CV
3.0%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
45.5 · #12/50
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in researchers (total), economic mass, agentic deployment (scale).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
45.1 · #32/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index — the army of agents
Russia's agentic capacity
48.6
ADI · #37/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do — across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)62.0
Access — citizens44.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)50.0
Business deployment36.0
Government deployment46.0
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from Russia's indices & economy
Russia — cognitive standing in full
Russia is the world's #8 economy by GDP ($2,561bn) and ranks #12/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #32/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Power Index (45.5, Strong); its trajectory is Falling behind — growing more slowly than the frontier. The binding concern is augmentation index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on — and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$2,561bn
#8 of 50
GDP / capita
$49,568
Upper-middle income · PPP
Population
144M
AI investment
$1.5bn
#21 globally
R&D intensity
0.94%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and Russia's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means — and where Russia sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 45.5 | Strong · #12/50 | High here — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 45.1 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce; low would mean thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 48.6 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here — agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.458 | Moderate · #31/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down; low would mean imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 40.0 | Developing · #33/50 | Low here — governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 28.8 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here — access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 38.8 | Moderate · #31/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce; low would mean dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 32.1 | Developing · #35/50 | Low here — a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement — today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.0% | Developing · #36/50 | Low here — slow improvement — at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement — at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
Falling behindRussia's trajectory is Falling behind — growing more slowly than the frontier. Risk: the relative gap is widening — a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
Momentum (CM): 32.1 #35/50
Velocity (CV): 3.0% #36/50
Closing the gap: -2.09 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 61.7 (now 45.1, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Cognitive Power Index (45.5, Strong) — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
Risk factors
- Relative trajectory — Falling behind: Risk: the relative gap is widening — a compounding disadvantage that can pull capital and talent toward leaders and deepen dependency. The clearest call to act.
- Scale without depth — strong absolute power (CPI #12) but thinner per-capita intensity (CC #32): capacity is large in total but spread thin per person, often a large-population effect.
- Affluent but under-utilizing — an upper-middle-income economy (GDP/cap $49,568 PPP) whose AI utilization (AIX 28.8) lags its means.
- Binding weakness — Augmentation Index 28.8 (#37/50, Developing): access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Adoption) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Convert access into utilization: workforce AI-skilling and agentic-workflow adoption.
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
▲
These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.