India
MaintainingAsia-PacificLower-middle income
Power #8 / 50Per-capita #37
Cognitive Power
55.2
of 100 · #8
CPI
55.2
CC
41.0
ADI
52.3
CDI
0.323
AIR
43.3
AIX
68.2
CRI
31.8
CM
45.6
CV
3.8%
Primary · absolute lens
Cognitive Power
55.2 · #8/50
Total national capacity — AI capital, compute, models & robotics. Strongest in agentic deployment (scale), research output (total), researchers (total).
Per-capita lens
Cognitive Coefficient
41.0 · #37/50
How deep infrastructure runs per person — rewards intensity, like GDP-per-capita or the HDI.
Agentic Deployment Index — the army of agents
India's agentic capacity
52.3
ADI · #32/50
How many capable, autonomous agents this society can field, how intelligent they are, and what they are permitted to do — across citizens, business and government. An automated army of agentic problem-solvers may be the single clearest near-term lever of cognitive advantage.
Agent capability (intelligence)64.0
Access — citizens48.0
Autonomy & reach (what agents can do)56.0
Business deployment42.0
Government deployment46.0
CC projection to 2040 — Baseline
All 8 scenarios →Monte-Carlo band (P10–P90) around the median path. Dashed = illustrative historical reconstruction.
Median (P50)P10–P90 bandReconstruction
Pillar profile
Country report · generated from India's indices & economy
India — cognitive standing in full
India is the world's #6 economy by GDP ($3,956bn) and ranks #8/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #37/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Augmentation Index (68.2, Leading); its trajectory is Maintaining — holding position but not compounding an advantage. The binding concern is cognitive development index.
Economic & scale context
The economic base AI capacity is built on — and how its scale interacts with the cognitive indices.
GDP (total)
$3,956bn
#6 of 50
GDP / capita
$11,748
Lower-middle income · PPP
Population
1,464M
AI investment
$11.0bn
#7 globally
R&D intensity
0.64%
of GDP
Index-by-index read
For each index: what it means when high (the value) versus low (the risk), and India's own standing.
| Index | Value | Standing | What a high vs low value means — and where India sits |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI Cognitive Power Index | 55.2 | Strong · #8/50 | High here — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow. ▲ high: great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow · ▼ low: limited absolute weight: a price-taker that depends on capacity built elsewhere |
| CC Cognitive Coefficient | 41.0 | Developing · #37/50 | Low here — thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped. ▲ high: deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce · ▼ low: thin per-person depth: gains stay concentrated and most of the workforce is under-equipped |
| ADI Agentic Deployment Index | 52.3 | Moderate · #32/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society; low would mean agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table. ▲ high: an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society · ▼ low: agents are under-deployed — the clearest near-term productivity lever is being left on the table |
| CDI Cognitive Development Index | 0.323 | Developing · #41/50 | Low here — imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness. ▲ high: broad, balanced development with no single dimension dragging it down · ▼ low: imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness |
| AIR AI Readiness | 43.3 | Moderate · #29/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment; low would mean governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used. ▲ high: institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment · ▼ low: governance, data or infrastructure gaps will slow how fast AI can actually be used |
| AIX Augmentation Index | 68.2 | Leading · #2/50 | High here — AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value. ▲ high: AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value · ▼ low: access without adoption — the tools exist but are under-used, so the value is unrealised |
| CRI Cognitive Resilience Index | 31.8 | Developing · #40/50 | Low here — dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability. ▲ high: strategic autonomy: a broad home-grown base that is hard to cut off or coerce · ▼ low: dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability |
| CM Cognitive Momentum | 45.6 | Moderate · #22/50 | Mid-pack. High would mean investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement — today's position is likely to compound; low would mean a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment. ▲ high: investment and pipeline favour sustained improvement — today's position is likely to compound · ▼ low: a weak pipeline — the current position may stall or erode without new investment |
| CV Cognitive Velocity | 3.8% | Strong · #6/50 | High here — improving quickly relative to a moving frontier. ▲ high: improving quickly relative to a moving frontier · ▼ low: slow improvement — at risk of drifting backwards in relative terms as the frontier advances |
Trajectory & growth potential
Trajectory & growth potential
MaintainingIndia's trajectory is Maintaining — holding position but not compounding an advantage. Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
Momentum (CM): 45.6 #22/50
Velocity (CV): 3.8% #6/50
Closing the gap: -1.91 pts/yr vs the frontier
Projected CC by 2040: 59.4 (now 41.0, P50 · scenario not forecast)
Strengths to build on
- Augmentation Index (68.2, Leading) — AI is actively in use across the workforce, so capability is being turned into value.
- Cognitive Velocity (3.8%, Strong) — improving quickly relative to a moving frontier.
- Cognitive Power Index (55.2, Strong) — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
Risk factors
- Dependency / low resilience — CRI 31.8 (#40/50): dependency risk: heavy reliance on frontier infrastructure others control — a strategic vulnerability.
- Relative trajectory — Maintaining: Risk: the frontier keeps moving, so standing still means slow relative decline. A stable base, but it needs fresh momentum to avoid drifting back.
- Scale without depth — strong absolute power (CPI #8) but thinner per-capita intensity (CC #37): capacity is large in total but spread thin per person, often a large-population effect.
- Binding weakness — Cognitive Development Index 0.323 (#41/50, Developing): imbalance or underdevelopment — at least one dimension is a binding weakness.
Recommended priorities
- Prioritise the weakest pillar (AI Access) to lift the geometric-mean development index (CDI).
- Broaden the base (education + data governance) to raise resilience and reduce concentration risk.
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These are model outputs and scenarios, not forecasts of actual outcomes. This platform measures access to, utilization of, and leverage from cognitive infrastructure — not intelligence. No causality or certainty is claimed.