Overview / Cognitive Aristocracy Tracker

Cognitive Aristocracy Tracker

Is AI brainpower spread out, or piling up with a few? This tracker shows how evenly it's shared across the world's people — and where it's heading.How concentrated is access to cognitive infrastructure — and is it diverging? This tracker measures the distribution of cognitive capital across the world's people and projects concentration under alternative futures.Quantifies the cross-country distribution of cognitive capital across the world's population — population-weighted Gini (CII), Theil, Lorenz, and top/bottom separation (CSI) — and projects concentration under the scenario set.

CII · Gini

0.228

cognitive inequality

Theil index

0.091

entropy measure

Top 10% ÷ Bottom 50%

2.4×

separation ratio

Top 1% ÷ Bottom 50%

2.6×

elite separation

Lorenz curve of cognitive capital

Cumulative share of cognitive infrastructure vs cumulative share of people. The bowed gap from the diagonal is the inequality.

Concentration under scenarios · 2040

Projected inequality of the CC distribution across people, by scenario.

Scenario	Gini 2040	Top10÷Bot50
Democratization	0.117	1.6×
Baseline	0.194	2.1×
Elite Divergence	0.254	2.7×
AGI Emergence	0.259	2.8×

Today: Gini 0.228 · 2.4×

The five cognitive classes

A framework (from the underlying research) for how cognitive stratification could crystallize. These are conceptual strata, not measured population counts.

<0.01%

Class I · Intelligence Owners

Own or control frontier intelligence infrastructure; create intelligence and set its terms.

1–5%

Class II · Intelligence Amplified

Continuous access to advanced AI, persistent memory, and autonomous agents integrated into daily work.

40–60%

Class III · Intelligence Consumers

Use mainstream AI tools; benefit broadly but with limited customization or ownership.

large

Class IV · Intelligence Dependents

Heavy reliance on AI with eroding independent capability and cognitive resilience.

variable

Class V · Intelligence Excluded

Minimal access to advanced systems; compounding economic and educational disadvantage.

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The aristocracy framing describes a risk the platform exists to monitor and help avert — not an endorsement or a prediction. Projections are scenarios.