Comparison report — United States, China
A detailed read across 2 countries, with every index and a per-item analysis. Model outputs & scenario estimates — not predictions.
Economic & scale context
| Measure | United States | China |
|---|---|---|
| GDP | $30,770bn | $19,498bn |
| GDP / capita | $90k | $29k |
| Population | 341.8M | 1,406.6M |
| AI investment | $471.0bn | $119.0bn |
All indices, side by side
Best value in each row highlighted. Hover an index name for its definition.
| Index | United States | China |
|---|---|---|
| CPI | 93.6 | 91.9 |
| CC | 86.7 | 69.9 |
| ADI | 83.0 | 73.9 |
| CDI | 0.848 | 0.647 |
| AIR | 96.5 | 76.3 |
| AIX | 100.0 | 66.8 |
| CRI | 88.8 | 62.4 |
| CM | 80.1 | 66.4 |
| CV | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Per-item analysis
United States
United States is the world's #1 economy by GDP ($30,770bn) and ranks #1/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #1/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Power Index (93.6, Leading); its trajectory is Frontier — the benchmark the rest of the world is measured against. It carries no single binding weakness across the headline indices.
Strengths
- Cognitive Power Index (93.6, Leading) — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
- Cognitive Coefficient (86.7, Leading) — deep capability per person: broad productivity gains and a well-equipped workforce.
- Agentic Deployment Index (83.0, Leading) — an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society.
Risk factors
- No acute structural risks stand out; the principal exposure is complacency as the frontier keeps moving.
China
China is the world's #2 economy by GDP ($19,498bn) and ranks #2/50 on absolute Cognitive Power and #6/50 on per-capita intensity. Its standout strength is Cognitive Power Index (91.9, Leading); its trajectory is Advancing — roughly keeping pace with the frontier and slowly improving. It carries no single binding weakness across the headline indices.
Strengths
- Cognitive Power Index (91.9, Leading) — great-power scale: the country can shape the frontier, attract capital and talent, and set standards others follow.
- AI Readiness (76.3, Leading) — institutions and infrastructure are ready to convert capability into real deployment.
- Agentic Deployment Index (73.9, Leading) — an automated-agent workforce multiplier is already in place across society.
Risk factors
- No acute structural risks stand out; the principal exposure is complacency as the frontier keeps moving.